MARKETS
over
MONOPOLIES
89%
believe Americans should have access to prediction markets
79%
say states shouldn't regulate prediction markets
RepublicanDemocratic
bipartisan support
Read the case

Prediction markets are the fastest-growing financial asset class in America and the gaming cartel is spending millions lobbying Congress to kill them.

The casino monopolies have a great setup going: they advertise to people that they can win, and get to ban anyone that actually does.

People are flocking by the millions to Kalshi because we offer a fair, open marketplace — and the casinos want to ban this to protect their profits. Don't let them.

The house always wins.
Unless there is no house.

Sportsbooks aren't just competing against you. They're engineered to extract from you. Your data is their weapon. Win too often, and you're banned. Prediction markets run on the opposite logic: the platform has no stake in who wins.

SPORTSBOOK MODEL
Sportsbook sets prices with a built-in margin
You always trade against the house, not other participants
Sportsbook profits directly when you lose
Your data is analyzed to limit your upside
Bets locked until end of game
Winners restricted or banned to protect the house
PREDICTION MARKET MODEL
Platform is neutral. No stake in the outcome.
You trade with other participants, not the platform
Prices set by supply and demand
Exit positions any time at market price
Strict Wall Street regulation and oversight

Strongest consumer
protections.

If consumer protection is the concern, federally regulated exchanges are part of the solution, not the problem. Prediction markets operate under the same legal framework that governs US futures and derivatives markets, the most complex financial markets in the world.

Identity & age controls
Verified identity and age gating on every account.
Deposit & time limits
Spending caps and session time controls built in.
Voluntary Self-Exclusion
Exclude yourself from the platform for a specified period if you need a break.
Market surveillance
Continuous anti-manipulation monitoring, 24/7.
Customer data safeguards
Data protected under federal financial standards.
Mental health support
Guidance on healthy trading habits in partnership withBirches Health
ECONOMICSWill inflation stay below 3% in 2026?
FED POLICYRate cut before June?
WEATHERHurricane landfall before September?
POLICYWill the debt ceiling be raised?
POLITICSWho controls the Senate in 2027?
JOBSWill payrolls beat estimates in March?
TECHNOLOGYWill AI legislation pass this session?
SPORTSNBA champion before August?
SCIENCEFDA approval for weight-loss drug?
FINANCES&P 500 above 6,000 by year-end?
ECONOMICSWill inflation stay below 3% in 2026?
FED POLICYRate cut before June?
WEATHERHurricane landfall before September?
POLICYWill the debt ceiling be raised?
POLITICSWho controls the Senate in 2027?
JOBSWill payrolls beat estimates in March?
TECHNOLOGYWill AI legislation pass this session?
SPORTSNBA champion before August?
SCIENCEFDA approval for weight-loss drug?
FINANCES&P 500 above 6,000 by year-end?
HEALTHWill bird flu reach pandemic status?
CRYPTOBitcoin above $120k in 2026?
TRADENew tariff deal with China this year?
CLIMATERecord global temperature in 2026?
MEDIAMajor network merger by Q3?
HOUSINGMortgage rate below 6% by December?
GEOPOLITICSG7 summit agreement on AI governance?
ENERGYOil above $90/barrel before summer?
BIOTECHmRNA cancer vaccine approval?
LABORUAW strike before contract renewal?
HEALTHWill bird flu reach pandemic status?
CRYPTOBitcoin above $120k in 2026?
TRADENew tariff deal with China this year?
CLIMATERecord global temperature in 2026?
MEDIAMajor network merger by Q3?
HOUSINGMortgage rate below 6% by December?
GEOPOLITICSG7 summit agreement on AI governance?
ENERGYOil above $90/barrel before summer?
BIOTECHmRNA cancer vaccine approval?
LABORUAW strike before contract renewal?
DEFENSENew NATO spending commitment this year?
SPACESpaceX Starship orbital flight before Q3?
PHARMAGLP-1 drug covered by Medicare?
BANKINGFed emergency rate cut in 2026?
EDUCATIONStudent loan forgiveness program survives?
IMMIGRATIONBorder crossing bill passes Senate?
RETAILMajor retailer bankruptcy before Q4?
TRANSPORTEV mandate delayed past 2030?
AIGPT-5 released before July?
ELECTIONSSpecial election flips a Senate seat?
DEFENSENew NATO spending commitment this year?
SPACESpaceX Starship orbital flight before Q3?
PHARMAGLP-1 drug covered by Medicare?
BANKINGFed emergency rate cut in 2026?
EDUCATIONStudent loan forgiveness program survives?
IMMIGRATIONBorder crossing bill passes Senate?
RETAILMajor retailer bankruptcy before Q4?
TRANSPORTEV mandate delayed past 2030?
AIGPT-5 released before July?
ELECTIONSSpecial election flips a Senate seat?
Markets create
Better information.

They reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd, and update in real-time. It's even used by The Federal Reserve for macroeconomic research. ↗

“Increasing truth in society.”

Markets don't lie like people do. When people put money on the line, they stop lying. It's a critical tool for accurate, unbiased, and nonpartisan information.

Major newsrooms
use us everyday.

The opposition isn't protecting consumers.

The casino and sports betting lobby spent millions lobbying Congress and the CFTC to kill prediction markets. At the same time, they were quietly building prediction market products of their own.

$0M+
LOBBIED AGAINST
PREDICTION MARKETS

“When your biggest critics apply for the exact license they tried to ban, the argument was never about consumers.”

Americans want this.
Both parties.

0%
say Americans should have access to prediction markets
0%
want federal oversight, not state gaming boards
0%
of Republicans support access
0%
of Democrats support access

Two-thirds of Americans believe efforts to shift regulation to states are primarily about protecting revenue and limiting competition, not consumer protection.

READ MORE
Axis Research

They want
you to lose.

The casino monopolies have a great setup going: they advertise to people that they can win, and get to ban anyone that actually does.

People are flocking by the millions to Kalshi because we offer a fair, free marketplace — and the casinos want to ban this to protect their profits. Don't let them.

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